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You've missed several relevant studies.

First, the Mincome experiment in Manitoba (confusingly, while "Minimum Income" is something different than "Basic Income", the experiment did test "Basic Income"), which ran for five years in the 1970s and found that only new mothers and teenagers worked substantially less.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mincome

Second, there was a case in London recently where a large lump sum was given to each of 13 long-term homeless men.

http://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/free-money-might-be-t...

Third, unconditional income on an Indian reservation (derived from Casino profits) showed a substantial improvement in the welfare of children from poor families:

http://opinionator.blogs.nytimes.com/2014/01/18/what-happens...

You can absolutely find nits to pick about all of these, but they are not "remote places with extremely poor people having no experience with the welfare state". I'd love to see an experiment conducted in Chicago or wherever else, but if people in all of the above, diverse situations (some of whom certainly have experience with a welfare state) behave one way it starts to be perverse to expect something different for an arbitrary new group of people (which isn't to say we couldn't be surprised or shouldn't do more research, to a point).



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