You're really optimistic. I do see a low but non-zero chance that some tensions between china/india/russia/middleeast with each other or someone else escalate into a wiping out of lots of factories, one way or the other.
Funny you should say that. I've seen an opinion in the wild that the USA saw German industry as a threat and thus blowing the pipelines was hitting multiple birds with one stone. The consequent energy policy between USA and Germany further penalises German industry.
