The situation there sounds dire, but this story is literally a set of WhatsApp messages turned into “news”.
> One very reputable public health specialist expects that the population will be decimated by at least 10-15 million by the time Covid is done with Myanmar
I really don’t think you can come up with a headline figure like that and then hand-wave away the actual source.
My Bangkok dentist with an MPH from a good American university has been forwarding me Covid horror stories that are trivially debunked as fake news for the last 18 months — without names and verifiable quotes, the whole thing is worthless.
Given the recent military coup and the history there, naming sources could literally get them killed. The medical assessment may be off, but I'm inclined to trus tthe judgement of an IR expert with years experience of the country they study on the security situation.
Try your best to get a projected CFR of 25% using any metrics you can with a population that’s 70% under 40, even one with TB rates like Myanmar. Can’t be done.
> One very reputable public health specialist expects that the population will be decimated by at least 10-15 million by the time Covid is done with Myanmar
I really don’t think you can come up with a headline figure like that and then hand-wave away the actual source.
My Bangkok dentist with an MPH from a good American university has been forwarding me Covid horror stories that are trivially debunked as fake news for the last 18 months — without names and verifiable quotes, the whole thing is worthless.