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I disagree. Talent is one component that gives you an advantage, but it is no guarantee for success.

Take this guy:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6PyYcnXQZJY

And tell me if up front you'd have recognized his talent and given him the opportunity that you felt he deserved.

In your world perseverance and grit count for nothing, in the real world a bit of talent and a ton of perseverance will outweigh any amount of talent if it isn't coupled with a substantial amount of grit and perseverance as well.

As nice as those theories are the entrance examinations and the judges are swayed easily by things other than talent which we can not measure objectively anyway.

Fortunately instruments are affordable (for some value of affordable) and if you can spare the time then practice is the differentiator. I've seen talented musicians fail due to a lack of discipline and I've seen moderately talented people succeed through endless hard work and everything in between. Of course the talented individual with discipline will always be at an advantage. But fortunately the world is large enough that more people than that handful will get a chance and some of those will succeed way beyond our expectations.

And all that besides the fact that talent as such isn't a static thing either.



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