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I dunno, that sounds a little like "electric light bulbs will be nothing more than a novelty item for the rich, they are just not practical for everyday use".

Put another way; There are economies of scale for mass production, but $120/bbl oil to truck those things to people might just make those advantages disappear.



You still need to get the same weight (or possibly more) of raw materials to people, offsetting the cost of transporting finished goods.

There would be some savings, and these same forces are bringing some manufacturing work back onshore, but not a great deal of it yet.




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