Such a bold claim for something that is very new, and isn't simple to test for. It's complex psychological/sociological chains of events that we are struggling to explain.
Your quotes say: at best "we don't want to say because this term has existed for maybe a year and we have no data", at worst "the experts say no because it sounds transphobic".
Read the Wikipedia entry. Read the portion about the original study that coined the term ROGD. It's a laughable 'study'. There are any number of 'studies' at any point of time without any actual rigor.
But we already know what ROGD is. Psychologists don't officially recognize it because the term originates not from science, but from hate based fear mongering. Psychologists most likely will never officially recognize it because there is a very simple explanation. Parents spend their whole lives trying to hide the existence of things like "trans". If it's ever mentioned, it's harshly demonized. LGBT people want the right to exist. This contradicts the parent's goal of sheltering their children from reality.
It's like an awesome meme, or an invention like the wheel or beer. Once it gets out, you can't stop it's spread. The cat's out of the bag.
These are children growing up with feelings they know they can never talk about with anyone out of fear of violence or excommunication. In all accessible media to them, the way they feel essentially does not exist, or is only represented by a mockery of their feelings, if not out right violence.
ROGD might eventually exist, but 99.99% of what you actually hear about is parents angry that LGBT people are allowed to exist.
This is actually a very fundamental question of nature or nurture. You, and the movement of LGBT people, believe that it is nurture, and innate. Perhaps wrong brain in the wrong body, perhaps hormones, perhaps chemicals. However my position is that it's a mixture of the two, which doesn't make anyone's feelings less valid, but just means we should think twice before pumping children full of hormones (or blockers) and make sure it is something that cannot be treated with social/psychological care. If there is an element of social contagion (remember how cool anorexia used to be? Emo adjacent things?) then we have a disaster on our hands, so we should exercise precaution first.
> we should think twice before pumping children full of hormones
Have you ever talked to a trans individual? You literally can't do anything without every professional in the field asking you to do a little more than "think twice".
That's good, however it still happens. Personally seen many of cases of children on puberty blockers, who knows how many there are. Regardless, it is becoming the norm to let children do as they please unless you would like to be labeled as an abusive parent. Here's the thing, getting medication for a psychological disorder should be very difficult, there's a reason countries don't just hand out Ritalin to every kid.
We had a concept for most of my lower level education: "said is dead". It was forbidden to use the word "said", even at the time I was a little suspect of the rule since every famous author uses it A LOT. However I think, as with most education, the most important thing is to send the pendulum too far in one direction, so that when it inevitably corrects itself you are in a good position.
In general I agree that creativity thrives with structure and rules, but that's exactly what the ban on "said" hopes to achieve.
>And then the biggest mistake I see people make is getting a lot of the letters in the right spot early and then just leaving them there on subsequent guesses
That's why we are civilised. People value dignity, grovelling for drugs should make one feel shame, and acts as a decent filter for those not desperate.
Who said anything about grovelling? I have a feeling you feel like this about every drug, but why should one feel shame for consuming drugs? I agree that some people behave very bad on drugs, but that's no reason to forbid it for everyone.
Because the powers at be in the US loved trump? Don't look at China, think about a US leak. China's government structure is built to micromanage viral outbreaks in a successful manner.
Such a bold claim for something that is very new, and isn't simple to test for. It's complex psychological/sociological chains of events that we are struggling to explain. Your quotes say: at best "we don't want to say because this term has existed for maybe a year and we have no data", at worst "the experts say no because it sounds transphobic".