I'd bet on WW3 not happening in the next 20 years.
US's military power is too strong. Russia is in such a bad shape that it can't even win Ukraine. China never goes to any war; their equipments suck as we saw in the Venezuela occurrence.
Nobody is going to help Iran. China and Russia only see Iran as the enemy of my enemy. Other than that, Chineses and Russians are likely disgusted by Iran's culture e.g. how they treat women. It would be like wtf why are we helping people like this?
The world will continue being policed by US and Europe.
The US has shown very quickly that it is not a spent power.
Compare what they have done recently in Venezuela and Iran to Russia's botching of taking Kiev and the mess ever since.
But to quote Fiona Hill in regards to China, Russia and iran.
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The Chinese have told the Europeans many times when they've been asked, 'Why are you continuing to support Russia? And why do you want Russia to win?' that, 'Well, if we wanted Russia to win, they would have won.'
Also, if they wanted Russia to lose, Russia would probably have lost.
China is, again, just gauging their support and playing all of this out, gaming it out, really, as to how it affects the United States one way or another.
The same is true of North Korea and Iran, she says: support for Russia has been built on antipathy towards the United States and their own beef with the United States.
But people already rose up. That's why tech companies are adding surveillance everywhere.
People want more surveillance. Have you talked to a rape victim or murder victim before? It would be extremely tone deaf to lecture them about how we should have less surveillance.
> I have a friend who is a new TA at a university in California. They’ve had to report several students, every semester, for basically pasting their assignments into ChatGPT.
We've solved this problem before.
You have 2 separate segments:
1. Lessons that forbid AI
2. Lessons that embrace AI
This doesn't seem that difficult to solve. You handle it like how you handle calculators and digital dictionaries in universities.
Moving forward, people who know fundamentals and AI will be more productive. The universities should just teach both.
this is tough because we've spent years building everything in education to be mediated by computers and technology, and now we're realizing that maybe we went a little overboard and over-fit to "lets do everything on computers".
it was easy to force kids to learn multiplication tables in their head when there were in-person tests and pencil-and-paper worksheets. if everything happens through a computer interface... the calculator is right there. how do you convince them that it's important to learn to not use it?
if we want to enforce non-ai lessons, i think we need to make sure we embrace more old-school methods like oral exams and essays being written in blue books.
You might found out the hard way that a lot of people say they want that, but very much want to avoid it.
The main allure of these apps to young women is all the attention from far more attractive men (relatively). Take that away - show her men who might be her "equal" in terms of marriageability, men who might be willing to commit to her - and your service will soon be dismissed and abandoned for only showing ugly men.
You need to sell the fantasy, sell the delusion. Sell hope. The reality hits too hard.
US's military power is too strong. Russia is in such a bad shape that it can't even win Ukraine. China never goes to any war; their equipments suck as we saw in the Venezuela occurrence.
Nobody is going to help Iran. China and Russia only see Iran as the enemy of my enemy. Other than that, Chineses and Russians are likely disgusted by Iran's culture e.g. how they treat women. It would be like wtf why are we helping people like this?
The world will continue being policed by US and Europe.