I wonder why he thinks Milei is going to bring continued change over time? Argentina's economy has been a mess as long as I can remember, decades and decades. Why is Milei so different that's he's willing to move there? He must really see a change he can exploit.
Argentina is, indeed, quite puzzling. They shouldn’t be a mess, and they should vote better, but, yet, they never get to have a stable period of progress.
There are only two countries in the entire South America that DO NOT have the experience of having a democratically elected leader overthrown in a US-backed coup.
I think that in the near future a super object oriented language will emerge that will let us create computer apps instead of programming them directly. Systems analysts, not programmers, will be able to define a computer app with the objects at a very high level and LLMs will create a JAVA like blob that can be run on multiple systems. The advantage is that the objects will be completely bug free and the app size is only limited by the systems resources. Bottom line, most app development will be done by systems analyst. The AI object programmers, a specialty, will help tweak the underlying function of each object.
Not yet, the IPOs have not started to go bunkers. We are not there yet, but eventually. Nothing goes up forever.
Here's the scenario I see: SpaceX, OpenAI and such go public; AI and tech stocks prices rise to unbelievable heights; We see news stories about someone getting close to becoming a 2x trillionaire; inflation rises; fed raises rates; stocks begin to fall; people panic sell and crash the market.
What I don't think people are taking into account is how wide spread AIs use will be. We are only seeing a very small use now. AI will eventully be coustomize for each country of the world, many of the machines we use and many new ways we can't think of right now. For that to happen we will need lots of data centers and power plants. The next 40 plus years will be bunkers in terms of the amout of productivity needed to roll out all the functions we want. It will be bigger than any recent roll out of new technology, definitely bigger than the web in size and function. No, we are not in a bubble, we are just getting started.
It's easy to say that he lost a large fortune but the guy is right. You can only make the best decision on the information you have at the time. You don't know the future. Apple is one success in many, many probably millions of failures. He got a good deal at the time. Of course, looking back it was a terrible deal but you can't predict the future with certainty. That is not how life works.
This is absolutely true. I too guaranty that the market will have a wild fall in the future. The problem is that we don't know when it will happen. The best we can do is pick the best investments we can, invest for the long term and hope for the best.
This doesn’t really surprise me. Most company leaders don’t have a detailed view of day to day work, they couldn’t step in and do every employee’s job. What they are good at is creating a clear story and direction that brings people together around a shared goal. That’s what Sam has done, especially in how he’s sold that vision to investors and raised billions. You could say the same about leaders like Elon Musk or Steve Jobs. It’s not necessarily a perfect system, but it’s often how companies grow and attract funding. No, they are not the perfect humans. It's just how business works.
I’ve been thinking that we’ll end up with specialized language models for different tasks, all connected by a router that picks the best one for each job. Put together, that could feel like a “super LLM”, not true AGI, but close enough that it might seem like it to most people. Because of that, I don’t think Mythos is a bluff.
I don’t think LLMs will ever be truly sentient, but they’ll likely appear that way. It won’t be real AGI, just something more powerful than any single human. Think of it as the oracle at Delphi. I'm not shocked that there's a better model coming. I'm sure there will be more powerful models to come after it too.
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