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Okay so give me an application of a web lesson

The only relevant lesson is that predictions are likely to be more wrong than right tbh

My favorite part is the AI will still estimate projects in human-time.

“You’re looking at a multi-week refactor” aaaaand it’s done


Yeah lol. “I estimate this will take 15-20 days” I do it in like 5 hours lol

They’ll sink ships or cause damage with low cost drones or missles

The strait isn’t wide enough, Iran can see any ships attempting


I see, thanks. Looks like the strait is 77 km wide, which isn't one ship's width but probably not wide enough that binoculars wouldn't see everything.

The navigable width where it is deep enough is significantly narrower.

Good point, thanks.

I’ve rarely had macOS TTS produce a sentence I didn’t have to edit

Whisper models I barely bother checking anymore


Fair but FWIW I love a GUI and I’m not gonna complain if everyone and their mother want to offer options

Let a thousand vibecoded flowers bloom


There is no bubble

Love the confidence. The logic can catch up later.

The automobile bubble has lasted longer than expected but the horses are sure to get their jobs back soon.

At least you didn't go with electricity or the internet. Respect.

When everyone says it is a bubble it's very likely not a bubble.

Also LLMs have a lot of value because it is a way to steal intellectual property without anyone beeing able to do s.th. about it.


Well clearly not everyone is saying it's a bubble (you maybe?) so I don't know where that leaves us. Also, IIRC there are massive lawsuits underway so there's definitely people doing s.th. about it

Sure but the Forest point stands, whatever you can hide from the Forest becomes something that slows it down and allows you some, even if only brief, moat?

There’s a deeply flawed hidden assumption here, which is that the individual in question is the only possible source for the relevant information that the AI can harvest. In the real world that absurdly rare, original thought is rare because we’re in the mix with billions of others.

Scientists who hold back publishing breakthroughs have not guaranteed that they will be the sole discoverer, just that someone else will inevitably be credited when they reach the same conclusions.


the untold billions don't matter -- the AI can sift through those. social media already exists to do that, and LLMs have the luxury of often having the chaff separate from the wheat ahead of time.

science is not inevitable, and there is no telling people will reach the same conclusions in a reasonable time frame.


Fine essay overall but “We possess the means to care for everyone -- yet choose not to”

I really don’t think this is true


The US could make homelessness a thing of the past with a minuscule fraction of what it is spending on the military. It is very much a choice.


DoD spent $1.43 trillion in FY2026

Around ~1 million homeless in US

Let’s say it costs $10K/month/person so $120K/yr/person. Probably a big overestimate but gotta include healthcare and help people with long term stability.

That’s 120,000 x 1,000,000 = 120,000,000,000 or $120 billion USD.

Idk what the Nth order effects would be but yea I think what you’re saying tracks in the numbers


For an ideal ('spherical cow in a vacuum') type of homeless person, sure.


You cannot just throw money at a problem like homelessness in order to fix it. That is such an incredibly reductive viewpoint. It's akin to saying 9 mothers can birth a child in a month - oh look, we solved the population decline crisis! Someone go tell Japan!


The us has an enormous per capita gdp for that large a country


Could you imagine Cuba with the per capita GDP of Florida?

Geopolitical and sovereignty awkwardness aside (big aside I know)…. it’s obvious Cuba, and especially the average Cuban, would benefit immensely from the island becoming a US state, no?


In an alternate universe, instead of the Castro 1959 takeover, a pro-US faction took over and requested annexation, and was accepted, since 1950s Americans all would have thought it was cool to have another cool tropical island paradise state. The Hawaii of the east coast!

If anyone thinks Cuba is better off in any metric now than they would have been in that alternate reality, I’d love to hear why.


> If anyone thinks Cuba is better off in any metric now than they would have been in that alternate reality, I’d love to hear why.

I mean, pre-Castro Cuba was basically a playground for the US rich. Like, the whole revolution was about kicking those people out.

Personally, I think that's morally justified, but I don't agree that what the US has done to them since then is morally justified. Obviously people differ on their opinions of this stuff, but collective punishment (which is what the US embargoes are) is generally regarded as a war crime.


> Obviously people differ on their opinions of this stuff, but collective punishment (which is what the US embargoes are) is generally regarded as a war crime

The definitions really keep mutating on the left don’t they. Economic sanctions are a “war crime,” “silence is violence,” etc.


> 2019, the Assembly of States Parties to the Rome Statute adopted an amendment to the definition of war crimes applicable in NIAC detailed in article 8(2)(e). The new article (8(2)(e)(xix) prohibits the intentional use of starvation of civilians as a method of warfare by depriving them of objects indispensable to their survival, including the deliberate prevention of relief.

Fuel for cooking food and providing heat is necessary for survival; deliberate prevention of this aid from reaching Cuba is a war crime.


> The definitions really keep mutating on the left don’t they. Economic sanctions are a “war crime,” “silence is violence,” etc.

You may have me confused with someone else, as I have never said anything about silence is violence.

Economic sanctions are definitely a method of waging war. The loss falls mostly on the ordinary people of the country, and as such are collective punishment and war crimes.

Now, is it better than bombing the people back to the Stone Age? Definitely in the short-term, but one look at what happened to Iraq after ten years of sanctions (everyone who could left) and the impact this had on post 2003 reconstruction would seem to suggest that it's the difference between acute and chronic illnesses.


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