A lot of people in the past few decades seem to have made a political dogma out of the inevitability of progress and attributing it to the "nature" of capitalism.
This should remind us that progress is very much a political choice and a confluence of factors beyond the specifics of the economic systems.
People falling all over themselves to write docs for their pile-of-linear-algebra-with-a-smiley-face-painted-on-it [0] don't read the docs, no. People who give a shit about writing solid software that doesn't get them paged at three in the damn morning do.
[0] The face is there to provide social-trustworthiness signals to engage the human pack-bonding instinct, natch.
Your sarcasm is unwarranted, because what I said is true and reflects the experience of a lot of people.
A decade ago I left a job and spent the last week thoroughly documenting every flow and code section of an app that I worked with, which was the core value proposition of the company. A couple years later I ask around and nobody even took a look at that.
People just don't read, and there are actually good reasons for that, one of them being that documentation is outdated in most orgs and the effort to keep it up to date is greater than reading the code.
Theres several comments that sound like „I“ve had this REALLY DIFFICULT problem (no specification whatsoever) and threw Fable on it and it solved it immediately, additionaly it cured aids and found a solution to world hunger“…
This is… not at all the case. Most observations on pricing, some on specific projects, some on speculation about Anthropic and many about the model getting nerfed.
They have, but even with the whole CCP backing you you can't just catch up on the chip war overnight. It's going to take time to get their memory and compute industries where they need to be. Meanwhile, barring an invasion of Taiwan, US will have Rubin class models and then whatever the next tier is, within 3 years.
'Barring the invasion of Taiwan' might actually be quite a lot to bar in mid 2026.
My hot take is that it's now or never for Xi, and from the specific things he is reported to have said to the US president at their last meeting lead me to think that he at least knows this is his big chance; whether or not it is taken is the part of the forecast that is opaque to me.
As long as architectural decisions have long-term costs and you need human taste and judgement to speculate on what business needs will come about in the next few years you'll still need human engineers.
What exactly was your company doing such that the concurrent development of features and infrastructure by 30 people is now done by 2? Each engineer is monitoring 15 Claude swarms?
> dude our soil is contaminated. our food grow from the soil. cattle eat grass that grows from the contaminated soil. be it heavy metals, microplastic, pesticides or other chemicals
That's true but it doesn't mean that the contamination has an actual effect, so vibes. This is not a minor point at all.
> eating meat from cattle is going to yield less contamination, because it has been filtered by nature (grass) + cattle (liver) and so on... there is a chain of filtering..
Assuming your argument of contamination is true does not make this assertion true. Why do you assume their livers do filter things instead of going through bioaccumulation?
> if the chicken doesn't get sunlight (vitamin d), the eggs will be depleted of vitamin d, and so on...
Chickens get supplemented with vitamin D in their feed.
> in the 1900s one chicken would took 4-5 months to be ready to be killed.. today it's ready within 5-7 weeks... you can ask old folks how the taste of chicken has changed from when they were young to today...
This is true. You still need to prove how the dietary profile has changed.
> "That's true but it doesn't mean that the contamination has an actual effect, so vibes. This is not a minor point at all."
If contamination has no effect, why does lard come with a transgenic warning on the packaging? the pig is not genetically modified, but because it consumes gmo food, it's fat becomes contaminated... Why do large fish carry massive, measurable mercury traces? By your logic, you could pour chlorine into a plant's soil, wait a week, and eat it without an issue because "contamination might not have an effect."
> "Why do you assume their livers do filter things instead of going through bioaccumulation?"
Because that is literally what a liver and kidneys do. yours is not the only one that do filter. futhermore, cattle are ruminants, pigs, chickens, and fish are not. they have a completely different digestive system that filters out significantly more toxins before they ever reach the meat, followed by pigs, chickens, and lastly fish.
> "Chickens get supplemented with vitamin D in their feed."
vitamin d supplements are not the same thing as getting direct sunlight. also their food is mainly genetically modified. you know there are different kinds right? cage free, free range and pasture raised. which one do you think has the better nutrient dense meat and eggs quality?
> "This is true. You still need to prove how the dietary profile has changed."
it changed because of synthetic growth hormones, GMO grain feeds, completely different, accelerated industrial breeds and so on..
if you honestly think its "vibes," i highly recommend you test your theory:
1. never ever go outside. stay indoors and only consume vitamin d pills
2 only eat ultra processed, genetically modified foods, and high sugar snacks
3. only use vegetable oils! never ever consume natural oils/fats
4. if you have a garden, pour chlorine on your garden vegetables and eat them a few weeks later. (if they survive it)
5. never fast. eat 6+ times a day to keep your insulin spiked at maximum capacity
> If contamination has no effect, why does lard come with a transgenic warning on the packaging?
In my jurisdiction no such warnings exist. You should check what level of paranoia your region handles because it may be based on evidence or in scaremongering.
> Why do large fish carry massive, measurable mercury traces?
Because large fish are apex predators and apex predators have always had a large amount of contaminants. This holds true now and throughout history, it's not a modern phenomenon.
> By your logic, you could pour chlorine into a plant's soil, wait a week, and eat it without an issue because "contamination might not have an effect."
This is what happens with pesticides, we spray crops and then wait days to weeks for the offgassing or biodegradation. For the record continue to spray crops with water with human and animal feces for nutrition as has been the case throughout human history
> futhermore, cattle are ruminants, pigs, chickens, and fish are not. they have a completely different digestive system that filters out significantly more toxins before they ever reach the meat, followed by pigs, chickens, and lastly fish.
You need to show some evidence of solid studies that show bioaccumulation of toxins because mechanistic effects (or your random theorizing as a layman) are not sufficient proof.
> vitamin d supplements are not the same thing as getting direct sunlight.
You need to show proof of this.
> also their food is mainly genetically modified. you know there are different kinds right? cage free, free range and pasture raised. which one do you think has the better nutrient dense meat and eggs quality?
You need to show proof that the nutrition profile is drastically better. Some free range food tastes different for sure but you need to show me that there's a large enough difference. I am not arguing about the ethics of modern factory farming though.
> 1. never ever go outside. stay indoors and only consume vitamin d pills 2 only eat ultra processed, genetically modified foods, and high sugar snacks 3. only use vegetable oils! never ever consume natural oils/fats 4. if you have a garden, pour chlorine on your garden vegetables and eat them a few weeks later. (if they survive it) 5. never fast. eat 6+ times a day to keep your insulin spiked at maximum capacity
I mean hundreds of millions of people do this and most of these things have been studied, quite literally to death.
* We know the effects of vitamin D supplementation (favorable compared to more than moderate sun exposure as direct sun exposure brings risks of melanoma)
* We know the effects of GMO: no known effects at all, no specific mechanism of action of because GMO is meaningless unless you can tell me of specific genetic changes that trigger the creation of some toxin in the target organism
* We know the effects of ultraprocessed foods: largely attributable to high palatability that leads of greater body mass and spikes in glycemic index if not supplemented with fiber or physical activity.
* There have been hundreds of studies on vegetable oils and not a single one has shown negative effects beyond what you might get from excess calories. Have you actually read these studies? You talk about "natural" oils, which is a completely meaningless term.
* The garden thing is a stupid analogy and dependent on the chemistry of whatever chemical in question you're talking about. You know that chemistry is an exact science and we can know empirically how different substances biodegrade right?
* Fasting has some marginal health benefits but is ultimately just a method of calorie restriction, which is healthy overall. No human randomized control trial has shown fasting to be better than alternative methods of dieting.
* Likewise, the number of times you eat does not have and known impact when you equate for calories.
Immunosuppresion is not a global epidemic. If anything it is the complete opposite; an excess of inflammation, which is directly correlated with all-cause mortality, organ failure and heart disease.
You mean the experiment that has been literally studied to death showing no substantial difference than most other vaccination methods that gets conveniently trotted out as an excuse of all the world's evils by pseudoscience grifters?
You mean the experiments where they said there wasn't enough data to show that what-cannot-be-named may have adverse effects?
Now those adverse events are showing up but you will still insist that it cannot possibly have anything to do with what-cannot-be-named without even checking
This should remind us that progress is very much a political choice and a confluence of factors beyond the specifics of the economic systems.
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